proposed club, the C Note, would have the local market all to itself. Plus, jazz is extremely popular in Monroe: over 100,000 people attended
Monroe's jazz festival last summer, several well-known jazz musicians live in Monroe, and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz
Nightly,' which airs every weeknight. Finally, a nationwide study indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on
jazz entertainment. It is clear that the C Note cannot help but make money."
在Monroe建立爵士乐俱乐部将会是非常盈利的产业。当前,最近的爵士俱乐部也在65英里以外;因此,我们筹建的俱乐部C
Note将会占有全部的本地市场。而且,爵士乐在Monroe非常流行:去年夏天10万多人参加了Monroe的爵士音乐节,若干知名爵士音乐家居住在Monroe,Monroe获评价最高的广播节目是平时每天播出的Jazz Nightly。最后,一项全国性研究表明典型的爵士爱好者每年花费近1000元用于爵士娱乐。显然C Note将会。
1.去年夏天的爵士节的详细信息没有提供,可能100,000都是外地来的人
2.全国性的调查不一定适用于Monroe,可能根本就不会花那么多
3.其他因素:收听'Jazz Nightly,'的人多不意味着他们愿意花钱去买唱片purchase the Compact Disc;此外,不一定C Note能够赢得全部的本地市场
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7.The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Clearview newspaper.
"In the next mayoral election, residents of Clearview should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, rather than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview town council, because the current members are not protecting our environment. For example, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview has doubled, air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has treated 25 percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann Green, the environmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved."
在下一次市长选举中,Clearview的市应投Good Earth Coalition成员Ann Green的票,而不是Clearview市委成员Frank Braun,因为当前的市委成员没有保护我们的环境。举例来说,去年Clearview的工厂数量翻了一番,空气污染水平增加了,而且当地医院因呼吸道疾病就诊的数量增加了25%。如果我们选举Ann Green,Clearview的环境问题肯定将被解决。
1.没有信息说明现在的town council成员是不爱护环境的,工厂可能与他们无关
2.没有信息表明Frank Braun需要为这些污染事件负责
3.其他因素:Ann Green一定能改善环境值得怀疑;其次,呼吸道疾病比一定是工厂的废气导致的
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8.The following appeared in a memorandum issued by the strategic planning department at Omni Inc.
"Mesa Foods, a manufacturer of snack foods that currently markets its products within a relatively small region of the country, has strong
growth potential. Mesa enjoyed a 20 percent increase in profits last year, and its best-selling product, Diabolique Salsa, has had increased sales over each of the past three years. Since Omni Inc. is interested in reaching 14-to-25 year olds, the age group that consumes the most snack food, we should buy Mesa Foods, and concentrate in particular on marketing Diabolique Salsa throughout the country."
Mesa Foods,一家当前仅在本国相对较小区域销售其产品的快餐食品生产商,具有很强的增长潜力。去年Mesa的利润上升了20%,其最畅销产品Diabolique Salsa连续三年销量增加。由于Omni Inc对14-25岁这一消费快餐食品最多的年龄群体感兴趣,我们应该收购Mesa Foods,并集中力量在全国推广Diabolique Salsa。
1.没有信息表明Mesa Foods会继续保持现在的增长速度keep its current tempo
2.没有说明是否Omni Inc感兴趣的对象是14-25岁,而Mesa Foods一样
3.其他因素:没有说明Diabolique Salsa适合所有地区的居民,习俗等;也没有说明收购的费用,以及是否值得
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9.The following appeared in a memorandum from a dean at Omega University.
"Fifteen years ago, Omega University implemented a new procedure that encouraged students to evaluate the teaching effectiveness of all their professors. Since that time, Omega professors have begun to assign higher grades in their classes, and overall student grade averages at Omega have risen by thirty percent. Potential employers apparently believe the grades at Omega are inflated; this would explain why Omega graduates have not been as successful at getting jobs as have graduates from nearby Alpha University. To enable its graduates to secure better jobs, Omega University should now terminate student evaluation of professors."
15年前,Omega大学实施了一项新措施,鼓励学生对所有教授的教学效果进行评价。从那以后,Omega的教授开始给予学生更高的分数,Omega的学生成绩总平均上升了30%。未来的雇主显然认为Omega的分数贬值了;这可以解释为什么Omega的毕业生找工作时没有邻近的Alpha大学毕业生成。为使Omega毕业生找到好工作,我们应立即停止学生对教授的评价。
1.没有信息说明30%的份数增长是评估教授效率的结果
2.没有信息说明是成绩缩水导致毕业生找不到好工作
3.其他因素:没有考虑是否有其他因素帮助提高Omega学生的就业率;没有说明让学生评价教授是否有好的一面
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10.The following appeared in a letter to the editor of a Batavia newspaper.
"The department of agriculture in Batavia reports that the number of dairy farms throughout the country is now 25 percent greater than it was 10 years ago. During this same time period, however, the price of milk at the local Excello Food Market has increased from $1.50 to over $3.00 per gallon. To prevent farmers from continuing to receive excessive profits on an apparently increased supply of milk, the Batavia government should begin to regulate retail milk prices. Such regulation is necessary to ensure both lower prices and an adequate supply of milk for consumers."
Batavia的农业部门报告说全国奶牛农庄的数量比10年前增加了25%。然而就在同一时期,当地Excello Food Market牛奶的价格从每加仑$1.5上涨到了$3.0。为防止农场主在牛奶供应量明显增加的情况下获取过多的利润,Batavia的政府应限制牛奶的零售价。这种限价对于保证更低的牛奶价格和充足的供应是必需的。
1.没有信息表明牛奶受到了很高的利润,可能是别的原因导致牛奶价格升高,成本等
2.没有信息说明牛奶在过去十年的时间里产量增加了,可能是农场增加,但规模小了
3.其他因素:没有信息表明这样的限制和规定能够提供低价供应量充足的牛奶;此外,没有考虑到牛奶农场之间的竞争会导致牛奶价格的降低,以及是否有更好的办法
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11.The following appeared in a memo from the mayor of the town of West Egg.
"Two years ago, our consultants predicted that West Egg's landfill, which is used for garbage disposal, would be completely filled within five years. During the past two years, however, town residents have been recycling twice as much aluminum and paper as they did in previous years. Next month the amount of material recycled should further increase, since charges for garbage pickup will double. Furthermore, over ninety percent of the respondents to a recent survey said that they would do more recycling in the future. Because of our residents' strong commitment to recycling, the available space in our landfill should last for considerably longer than predicted."
两年前,我们的顾问预言West Egg用于投放垃圾的填埋地将在五年内完全充满。然而在过去两年间,市对于铝和纸张的循环再生的数量比以前翻了一番。由于垃圾收集的收费在下个月将会加倍,循环再生的材料数量将进一步增加。而且,最近一次调查超过90%的回应者表示他们将会在未来做更多的循环再生工作。由于居对循环再生的有力支持,我们填埋地可利用空间的使用时间将比预期的长得多。
1.没有说明,人口等其他因素是否会导致垃圾数量的增多,可能offset the decease of垃圾,由于循环和回收的增多导致的
2.没有说明会因为垃圾收集费用的提高导致循环数量的增加,更愿意花钱
3.其他因素:调查的详细信息没有说明,比一定所有的人都会那样做;其外,没有证据说明垃圾总量的信息,可能现在的总数比过去多很多,而循环在回收的数量翻倍不能说明总量的情况
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12.The following appeared in a memo from a vice president of Alta Manufacturing. "During the past year, Alta Manufacturing had thirty percent more on-the-job accidents than nearby Panoply Industries, where the work shifts are one hour shorter than ours. Experts believe that a significant contributing factor in many on-the-job accidents is fatigue and sleep deprivation among workers. Therefore, to reduce the number of on-the-job accidents at Alta and thereby increase productivity, we should shorten each of our three work shifts by one hour so that our employees will get adequate amounts of sleep."
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